TY - JOUR PY - 2013// TI - You can't win if you don't fight: the role of regime type in counterinsurgency outbreaks and outcomes JO - Journal of conflict resolution A1 - Getmansky, Anna SP - 709 EP - 734 VL - 57 IS - 4 N2 - What effect, if any, does democracy have on outcomes of counterinsurgency wars? Previous studies have provided inconclusive answers mainly because of the challenges involved in testing the question empirically: First, insurgencies are not accidental and the anticipated outcomes also affect whether they break out in the first place. Second, regimes are non-random and their determinants can also affect insurgency incidence and its outcomes. Moreover, different aspects of democracy can have opposite effects on the government's chances of winning. I address these challenges by conducting a critical test to distinguish between different causal mechanisms. I find that domestic institutions that are associated with public goods provision make insurgency onsets less likely. I also show that once we control for this selection effect, domestic political institutions do not influence insurgency outcomes.

Language: en

LA - en SN - 0022-0027 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0022002712449326 ID - ref1 ER -