TY - JOUR PY - 2015// TI - Modeling the injury prevention impact of mandatory alcohol ignition interlock installation in all new US vehicles JO - American journal of public health A1 - Carter, Patrick M. A1 - Flannagan, Carol A. C. A1 - Bingham, C. Raymond A1 - Cunningham, Rebecca M. A1 - Rupp, Jonathan D. SP - 1028 EP - 1035 VL - 105 IS - 5 N2 - OBJECTIVES: We estimated the injury prevention impact and cost savings associated with alcohol interlock installation in all new US vehicles.

METHODS: We identified fatal and nonfatal injuries associated with drinking driver vehicle crashes from the Fatality Analysis Reporting System and National Automotive Sampling System's General Estimates System data sets (2006-2010). We derived the estimated impact of universal interlock installation using an estimate of the proportion of alcohol-related crashes that were preventable in vehicles < 1 year-old. We repeated this analysis for each subsequent year, assuming a 15-year implementation. We applied existing crash-induced injury cost metrics to approximate economic savings, and we used a sensitivity analysis to examine results with varying device effectiveness.

RESULTS: Over 15 years, 85% of crash fatalities (> 59 000) and 84% to 88% of nonfatal injuries (> 1.25 million) attributed to drinking drivers would be prevented, saving an estimated $342 billion in injury-related costs, with the greatest injury and cost benefit realized among recently legal drinking drivers. Cost savings outweighed installation costs after 3 years, with the policy remaining cost effective provided device effectiveness remained above approximately 25%.

CONCLUSIONS: Alcohol interlock installation in all new vehicles is likely a cost-effective primary prevention policy that will substantially reduce alcohol-involved crash fatalities and injuries, especially among young vulnerable drivers. (Am J Public Health. Published online ahead of print March 19, 2015: e1-e8. doi:10.2105/AJPH.2014.302445).

Language: en

LA - en SN - 0090-0036 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2014.302445 ID - ref1 ER -