TY - JOUR PY - 2015// TI - Temporal aggregation and spatio-temporal traffic modeling JO - Journal of transport geography A1 - Percoco, Marco SP - 244 EP - 247 VL - 46 IS - N2 - Traffic forecasting is crucial for policy making in the transport sector. Recently, Selby and Kockelman (2013) have proposed spatial interpolation techniques as suitable tools to forecast traffic at different locations. In this paper, we argue that an eventual source of uncertainty over those forecasts derives from temporal aggregation. However, we prove that the spatio-temporal correlation function is robust to temporal aggregations schemes when the covariance of traffic in different locations is separable in space and time. We prove empirically this result by conducting an extensive simulation study on the spatial structure of the Milan road network.

Language: en

LA - en SN - 0966-6923 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2015.07.001 ID - ref1 ER -