TY - JOUR PY - 2016// TI - From alcohol initiation to tolerance to problems: discordant twin modeling of a developmental process JO - Development and psychopathology A1 - Deutsch, Arielle R. A1 - Slutske, Wendy S. A1 - Lynskey, Michael T. A1 - Bucholz, Kathleen K. A1 - Madden, Pamela A. F. A1 - Heath, Andrew C. A1 - Martin, Nicholas G. SP - 845 EP - 861 VL - 29 IS - 3 N2 - The current study examined a stage-based alcohol use trajectory model to test for potential causal effects of earlier drinking milestones on later drinking milestones in a combined sample of two cohorts of Australian monozygotic and same-sex dizygotic twins (N = 7,398, age M = 30.46, SD = 2.61, 61% male, 56% monozygotic twins). Ages of drinking, drunkenness, regular drinking, tolerance, first nontolerance alcohol use disorder symptom, and alcohol use disorder symptom onsets were assessed retrospectively. Ages of milestone attainment (i.e., age-of-onset) and time between milestones (i.e., time-to-event) were examined via frailty models within a multilevel discordant twin design. For age-of-onset models, earlier ages of onset of antecedent drinking milestones increased hazards for earlier ages of onset for more proximal subsequent drinking milestones. For the time-to-event models, however, earlier ages of onset for the "starting" milestone decreased risk for a shorter time period between the starting and the "ending" milestone. Earlier age of onset of intermediate milestones between starting and ending drinking milestones had the opposite effect, increasing risk for a shorter time period between the starting and ending milestones. These results are consistent with a causal effect of an earlier age of drinking milestone onset on temporally proximal subsequent drinking milestones.
Language: en
LA - en SN - 0954-5794 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0954579416000523 ID - ref1 ER -