TY - JOUR PY - 2016// TI - Self-similar aftershock rates JO - Physical review. E A1 - Davidsen, Jörn A1 - Baiesi, Marco SP - e022314 EP - e022314 VL - 94 IS - 2-1 N2 - In many important systems exhibiting crackling noise-an intermittent avalanchelike relaxation response with power-law and, thus, self-similar distributed event sizes-the "laws" for the rate of activity after large events are not consistent with the overall self-similar behavior expected on theoretical grounds. This is particularly true for the case of seismicity, and a satisfying solution to this paradox has remained outstanding. Here, we propose a generalized description of the aftershock rates which is both self-similar and consistent with all other known self-similar features. Comparing our theoretical predictions with high-resolution earthquake data from Southern California we find excellent agreement, providing particularly clear evidence for a unified description of aftershocks and foreshocks. This may offer an improved framework for time-dependent seismic hazard assessment and earthquake forecasting.

Language: en

LA - en SN - 2470-0045 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.94.022314 ID - ref1 ER -