TY - JOUR PY - 2016// TI - Predicting the population health impacts of community interventions: the case of alcohol outlets and binge drinking JO - American journal of public health A1 - Ahern, Jennifer A1 - Colson, K. Ellicott A1 - Margerson-Zilko, Claire A1 - Hubbard, Alan A1 - Galea, Sandro SP - 1938 EP - 1943 VL - 106 IS - 11 N2 - A substitution estimator can be used to predict how shifts in population exposures might change health. We illustrated this method by estimating how an upper limit on alcohol outlet density might alter binge drinking in the New York Social Environment Study (n = 4000), and provided statistical code and sample data. The largest differences in binge drinking were for an upper limit of 70 outlets per square mile; there was a -0.7% difference in binge drinking prevalence for New York City overall (95% confidence interval [CI] = -0.2%, -1.3%) and a -2.4% difference in binge drinking prevalence for the subset of communities the intervention modified (95% CI = -0.5%, -4.0%). A substitution estimator is a flexible tool for estimating population intervention parameters and improving the translation of public health research results to practitioners. (Am J Public Health. Published online ahead of print September 15, 2016: e1-e6. doi:10.2105/AJPH.2016.303425).

Language: en

LA - en SN - 0090-0036 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2016.303425 ID - ref1 ER -