TY  - JOUR
PY  - 2016//
TI  - Seeing what you want to see: how imprecise uncertainty ranges enhance motivated reasoning
JO  - Risk analysis
A1  - Dieckmann, Nathan F.
A1  - Gregory, Robin
A1  - Peters, Ellen
A1  - Hartman, Robert
SP  - 471
EP  - 486
VL  - 37
IS  - 3
N2  - In this article, we consider a novel criterion for evaluating representations of uncertainty ranges, namely, the extent to which a representation enhances motivated reasoning. In two studies, we show that perceptions of the distribution underlying ambiguous numerical ranges are affected by the motivations and worldviews of end users. This motivated reasoning effect remained after controlling for objective numeracy and fluid intelligence but was attenuated when the correct interpretation was made clear. We suggest that analysts and communicators explicitly consider the potential for motivated evaluation when evaluating uncertainty displays.<br><br>© 2016 Society for Risk Analysis.<p />  <p>Language: en</p>
LA  - en
SN  - 0272-4332
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/risa.12639
ID  - ref1
ER  -