TY - JOUR PY - 2016// TI - Posttraumatic stress disorder associated with unexpected death of a loved one: cross-national findings from the world mental health surveys JO - Depression and anxiety A1 - Atwoli, Lukoye A1 - Stein, Dan J. A1 - King, Andrew A1 - Petukhova, Maria A1 - Aguilar-Gaxiola, Sergio A1 - Alonso, Jordi A1 - Bromet, Evelyn J. A1 - de Girolamo, Giovanni A1 - Demyttenaere, Koen A1 - Florescu, Silvia A1 - Maria Haro, Josep A1 - Karam, Elie G. A1 - Kawakami, Norito A1 - Lee, Sing A1 - Lépine, Jean-Pierre A1 - Navarro-Mateu, Fernando A1 - O'Neill, Siobhan A1 - Pennell, Beth-Ellen A1 - Piazza, Marina A1 - Posada-Villa, Jose A1 - Sampson, Nancy A. A1 - ten Have, Margreet A1 - Zaslavsky, Alan M. A1 - Kessler, Ronald C. SP - 315 EP - 326 VL - 34 IS - 4 N2 - BACKGROUND: Unexpected death of a loved one (UD) is the most commonly reported traumatic experience in cross-national surveys. However, much remains to be learned about posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) after this experience. The WHO World Mental Health (WMH) survey initiative provides a unique opportunity to address these issues.

METHODS: Data from 19 WMH surveys (n = 78,023; 70.1% weighted response rate) were collated. Potential predictors of PTSD (respondent sociodemographics, characteristics of the death, history of prior trauma exposure, history of prior mental disorders) after a representative sample of UDs were examined using logistic regression. Simulation was used to estimate overall model strength in targeting individuals at highest PTSD risk.

RESULTS: PTSD prevalence after UD averaged 5.2% across surveys and did not differ significantly between high-income and low-middle income countries. Significant multivariate predictors included the deceased being a spouse or child, the respondent being female and believing they could have done something to prevent the death, prior trauma exposure, and history of prior mental disorders. The final model was strongly predictive of PTSD, with the 5% of respondents having highest estimated risk including 30.6% of all cases of PTSD. Positive predictive value (i.e., the proportion of high-risk individuals who actually developed PTSD) among the 5% of respondents with highest predicted risk was 25.3%.

CONCLUSIONS: The high prevalence and meaningful risk of PTSD make UD a major public health issue. This study provides novel insights into predictors of PTSD after this experience and suggests that screening assessments might be useful in identifying high-risk individuals for preventive interventions.

© 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

Language: en

LA - en SN - 1091-4269 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/da.22579 ID - ref1 ER -