TY - JOUR PY - 2016// TI - How will induced seismicity in Oklahoma respond to decreased saltwater injection rates? JO - Science advances A1 - Langenbruch, Cornelius A1 - Zoback, Mark D. SP - e1601542 EP - e1601542 VL - 2 IS - 11 N2 - In response to the marked number of injection-induced earthquakes in north-central Oklahoma, regulators recently called for a 40% reduction in the volume of saltwater being injected in the seismically active areas. We present a calibrated statistical model that predicts that widely felt M ≥ 3 earthquakes in the affected areas, as well as the probability of potentially damaging larger events, should significantly decrease by the end of 2016 and approach historic levels within a few years. Aftershock sequences associated with relatively large magnitude earthquakes that occurred in the Fairview, Cherokee, and Pawnee areas in north-central Oklahoma in late 2015 and 2016 will delay the rate of seismicity decrease in those areas.
Language: en
LA - en SN - 2375-2548 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1601542 ID - ref1 ER -