TY - JOUR PY - 2017// TI - Known unknowns and unknown unknowns in suicide risk assessment: evidence from meta-analyses of aleatory and epistemic uncertainty JO - BJPsych bulletin A1 - Large, Matthew A1 - Galletly, Cherrie A1 - Myles, Nicholas A1 - Ryan, Christopher James A1 - Myles, Hannah SP - 160 EP - 163 VL - 41 IS - 3 N2 - Suicide risk assessment aims to reduce uncertainty in order to focus treatment and supervision on those who are judged to be more likely to die by suicide. In this article we consider recent meta-analytic research that highlights the difference between uncertainty about suicide due to chance factors (aleatory uncertainty) and uncertainty that results from lack of knowledge (epistemic uncertainty). We conclude that much of the uncertainty about suicide is aleatory rather than epistemic, and discuss the implications for clinicians.
Language: en
LA - en SN - 2056-4694 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1192/pb.bp.116.054940 ID - ref1 ER -