TY - JOUR
PY - 2018//
TI - Geographic modeling for children at risk for home fires and burns
JO - Burns: journal of the International Society for Burn Injuries
A1 - Lehna, Carlee
A1 - Furmanek, Stephen
A1 - Fahey, Erin
A1 - Hanchette, Carol
SP - 201
EP - 209
VL - 44
IS - 1
N2 - This study developed a predictive model for fires and burns among parents and children in Jefferson County, Kentucky. Eight risk factors for pediatric burns with census tract level data available were identified. Risk factors were synthesized to develop a cartographic model with risk levels low, medium, high, and severe. Validation was performed with fire dispatch data. At-risk areas were concentrated in the county's northwest. Risk was correlated with fire incidence rate (ρ=0.67, p<0.001). Significant risk factors were race (β=0.54, p<0.001), education (β=0.38, p<0.001), and year home built (β=-0.17, p=0.005). Cartographic modeling is a underutilized tool to identify at-risk areas.
Copyright © 2017 Elsevier Ltd and ISBI. All rights reserved.
Language: en
LA - en SN - 0305-4179 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.burns.2017.07.007 ID - ref1 ER -