TY - JOUR PY - 2018// TI - Comparing predictive validity of JSORRAT-II and MEGA(♪) with sexually abusive youth in long-term residential custody JO - International journal of offender therapy and comparative criminology A1 - Rasmussen, Lucinda A. Lee SP - 2937 EP - 2953 VL - 62 IS - 10 N2 - This 6-year prospective study is the first to compare two psychometrically sound risk assessment tools for sexually abusive youth: JSORRAT-II and MEGA(♪). Cross-validated on representative samples of over 500 youth, these measures have cutoff scores, allowing for a more exact assessment of risk. Study sample consisted of 129 male adjudicated adolescents housed in a secured residential treatment facility for sexually abusive youth. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis showed that MEGA(♪) Risk Scale was mildly predictive of sexual recidivism over a 6-year period (mean follow-up = 15.6 months)-area under the curve (AUC) =.67; 95% confidence interval [CI] = [0.52, 0.82]; p <.015. JSORRAT-II was not predictive (AUC =.57; 95% CI = [0.42, 0.72]; p <.297). The study contributes to scant literature on the most contemporary, statistically robust risk assessment tools for sexually abusive youth.
Language: en
LA - en SN - 0306-624X UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0306624X17726550 ID - ref1 ER -