TY  - JOUR
PY  - 2018//
TI  - Harnessing advances in computer simulation to inform policy and planning to reduce alcohol-related harms
JO  - International journal of public health
A1  - Atkinson, Jo-An
A1  - Knowles, Dylan
A1  - Wiggers, John
A1  - Livingston, Michael
A1  - Room, Robin G. W.
A1  - Prodan, Ante
A1  - McDonnell, Geoff
A1  - O'Donnell, Eloise
A1  - Jones, Sandra
A1  - Haber, Paul S.
A1  - Muscatello, David
A1  - Ezard, Nadine
A1  - Phung, Nghi
A1  - Freebairn, Louise
A1  - Indig, Devon
A1  - Rychetnik, Lucie
A1  - Ananthapavan, Jaithri
A1  - Wutzke, Sonia
SP  - 537
EP  - 546
VL  - 63
IS  - 4
N2  - OBJECTIVES: Alcohol misuse is a complex systemic problem. The aim of this study was to explore the feasibility of using a transparent and participatory agent-based modelling approach to develop a robust decision support tool to test alcohol policy scenarios before they are implemented in the real world. <br><br>METHODS: A consortium of Australia's leading alcohol experts was engaged to collaboratively develop an agent-based model of alcohol consumption behaviour and related harms. As a case study, four policy scenarios were examined. <br><br>RESULTS: A 19.5 ± 2.5% reduction in acute alcohol-related harms was estimated with the implementation of a 3 a.m. licensed venue closing time plus 1 a.m. lockout; and a 9 ± 2.6% reduction in incidence was estimated with expansion of treatment services to reach 20% of heavy drinkers. Combining the two scenarios produced a 33.3 ± 2.7% reduction in the incidence of acute alcohol-related harms, suggesting a synergistic effect. <br><br>CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates the feasibility of participatory development of a contextually relevant computer simulation model of alcohol-related harms and highlights the value of the approach in identifying potential policy responses that best leverage limited resources.<p />  <p>Language: en</p>
LA  - en
SN  - 1661-8556
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00038-017-1041-y
ID  - ref1
ER  -