TY - JOUR PY - 2017// TI - Induced seismicity provides insight into why earthquake ruptures stop JO - Science advances A1 - Galis, Martin A1 - Ampuero, Jean Paul A1 - Mai, P. Martin A1 - Cappa, Frédéric SP - eaap7528 EP - eaap7528 VL - 3 IS - 12 N2 - Injection-induced earthquakes pose a serious seismic hazard but also offer an opportunity to gain insight into earthquake physics. Currently used models relating the maximum magnitude of injection-induced earthquakes to injection parameters do not incorporate rupture physics. We develop theoretical estimates, validated by simulations, of the size of ruptures induced by localized pore-pressure perturbations and propagating on prestressed faults. Our model accounts for ruptures growing beyond the perturbed area and distinguishes self-arrested from runaway ruptures. We develop a theoretical scaling relation between the largest magnitude of self-arrested earthquakes and the injected volume and find it consistent with observed maximum magnitudes of injection-induced earthquakes over a broad range of injected volumes, suggesting that, although runaway ruptures are possible, most injection-induced events so far have been self-arrested ruptures.
Language: en
LA - en SN - 2375-2548 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aap7528 ID - ref1 ER -