TY - JOUR PY - 2018// TI - Health impact assessment of cycling network expansions in European cities JO - Preventive medicine A1 - Mueller, Natalie A1 - Rojas-Rueda, David A1 - Salmon, Maëlle A1 - Martínez, David A1 - Ambros, Albert A1 - Brand, Christian A1 - de Nazelle, Audrey A1 - Dons, Evi A1 - Gaupp-Berghausen, Mailin A1 - Gerike, Regine A1 - Gotschi, Thomas A1 - Iacorossi, Francesco A1 - Panis, Luc Int A1 - Kahlmeier, Sonja A1 - Raser, Elisabeth A1 - Nieuwenhuijsen, Mark SP - 62 EP - 70 VL - 109 IS - N2 - We conducted a health impact assessment (HIA) of cycling network expansions in seven European cities. We modeled the association between cycling network length and cycling mode share and estimated health impacts of the expansion of cycling networks. First, we performed a non-linear least square regression to assess the relationship between cycling network length and cycling mode share for 167 European cities. Second, we conducted a quantitative HIA for the seven cities of different scenarios (S) assessing how an expansion of the cycling network [i.e. 10% (S1); 50% (S2); 100% (S3), and all-streets (S4)] would lead to an increase in cycling mode share and estimated mortality impacts thereof. We quantified mortality impacts for changes in physical activity, air pollution and traffic incidents. Third, we conducted a cost-benefit analysis. The cycling network length was associated with a cycling mode share of up to 24.7% in European cities. The all-streets scenario (S4) produced greatest benefits through increases in cycling for London with 1210 premature deaths (95% CI: 447-1972) avoidable annually, followed by Rome (433; 95% CI: 170-695), Barcelona (248; 95% CI: 86-410), Vienna (146; 95% CI: 40-252), Zurich (58; 95% CI: 16-100) and Antwerp (7; 95% CI: 3-11). The largest cost-benefit ratios were found for the 10% increase in cycling networks (S1). If all 167 European cities achieved a cycling mode share of 24.7% over 10,000 premature deaths could be avoided annually. In European cities, expansions of cycling networks were associated with increases in cycling and estimated to provide health and economic benefits.

Copyright © 2017. Published by Elsevier Inc.

Language: en

LA - en SN - 0091-7435 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ypmed.2017.12.011 ID - ref1 ER -