TY - JOUR PY - 2018// TI - Modeling the impacts of speed limits on uncertain road networks JO - Transportmetrica A: transport science A1 - Xu, Xiangdong A1 - Chen, Anthony A1 - Lo, Hong K. A1 - Yang, Chao SP - 66 EP - 88 VL - 14 IS - 1-2 N2 - In this paper, we examine the network-wide impacts of speed limits on network uncertainty. A multi-dimensional modeling approach is proposed to investigate the impacts of speed limits on link travel time uncertainty profile, travelers' risk-averse route choice decisions, and network flow reallocation under uncertainty.

METHODologically, a truncated travel time probability distribution is proposed and its moments are derived to characterize the impact of speed limit on link travel time uncertainty profile. The mean-excess travel time is then adopted as a risk measure to account for travelers' risk-averse route choice adjustment and network flow reallocation induced by speed limits. We find that a speed limit scheme has different impacts on various dimensions of travel time uncertainty. The shift in travel time uncertainty profile of the directly affected links adjusts the traveler's risk-averse route choice decisions, the travel time uncertainty profile of the indirectly affected links, and consequently the network flow reallocation.

Language: en

LA - en SN - 2324-9935 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/23249935.2017.1317879 ID - ref1 ER -