TY - JOUR PY - 2017// TI - A case study on global sensitivity analysis with dependent inputs: the natural gas transmission model JO - Reliability engineering and system safety A1 - López-Benito, Alfredo A1 - Bolado-Lavín, Ricardo SP - 11 EP - 21 VL - 165 IS - N2 - This paper addresses the identification of the most important input parameters in a natural gas transmission model, in particular regarding their possible effects on pressure and temperature drops. This model has the peculiarity that a significant number of its uncertain input parameters are dependent on each other. Combinations of input parameters considered a priori as valid deliver impossible physical results (i.e.: negative pressures). This advises the application of a sampling method that rejects samples that lead to non-physical results. In a Bayesian framework, selective sample rejection modifies the a priori probability density function (pdf) of independent input parameters producing an a posteriori pdf with dependent inputs. Borgonovo's δ has been the Global Sensitivity Analysis measure selected for performing the sensitivity analysis. The results obtained are completely in line with what physical intuition indicates.

Language: en

LA - en SN - 0951-8320 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2017.03.019 ID - ref1 ER -