TY  - JOUR
PY  - 2019//
TI  - Freeway rear-end collision risk estimation with extreme value theory approach. a case study
JO  - Transportation research procedia
A1  - Gecchele, Gregorio
A1  - Orsini, Federico
A1  - Gastaldi, Massimiliano
A1  - Rossi, Riccardo
SP  - 195
EP  - 202
VL  - 37
IS  - 
N2  - The current practice in crash-based safety analysis is hindered by some weaknesses: rarity of crashes, lack of timeliness, mistakes in crash reporting. Researchers are testing alternative approaches to safety estimation without the need of crash data. This paper presents an application of Extreme Value Theory in road safety analysis, using Time-To-Collision as a surrogate safety measure to estimate the risk to be involved in a freeway rear-end collision. The method was tested using data from an Italian toll-road with good results.<p />  <p>Language: en</p>
LA  - en
SN  - 2352-1465
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.trpro.2018.12.183
ID  - ref1
ER  -