TY - JOUR
PY - 2019//
TI - The political dynamics of voter retrospection and disaster responses
JO - Disasters
A1 - Rubin, Olivier
SP - ePub
EP - ePub
VL - ePub
IS - ePub
N2 - Natural hazards not only have socio-economic impacts, they also have political repercussions. This paper takes stock of the fast-growing research linking disasters triggered by natural hazards to voting behaviour. The research is based on the central tenet of voter retrospection: voters place emphasis on past events when deciding their vote. The paper uncovers a great disparity of electoral outcomes in the wake of disasters. Some of this disparity can be explained away by authors' different methodological choices. However, the unpredictability of voting behaviour in the wake of disasters also points to the relevance of introducing an intermediate variable when explaining voter movements. This variable should capture the prevailing political discourses surrounding disasters, as these are likely to shape the dynamics of voter retrospection. The paper demonstrates the analytical relevance of such political discourses by contrasting the political dynamics in Denmark and Sweden in the aftermath of the 2004 tsunami. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
Language: en
LA - en SN - 0361-3666 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/disa.12376 ID - ref1 ER -