TY - JOUR
PY - 2019//
TI - Detection of suicide attempters among suicide ideators using machine learning
JO - Psychiatry investigation
A1 - Ryu, Seunghyong
A1 - Lee, Hyeongrae
A1 - Lee, Dong-Kyun
A1 - Kim, Sung-Wan
A1 - Kim, Chul-Eung
SP - 588
EP - 593
VL - 16
IS - 8
N2 - OBJECTIVE: We aimed to develop predictive models to identify suicide attempters among individuals with suicide ideation using a machine learning algorithm.
METHODS: Among 35,116 individuals aged over 19 years from the Korea National Health & Nutrition Examination Survey, we selected 5,773 subjects who reported experiencing suicide ideation and had answered a survey question about suicide attempts. Then, we performed resampling with the Synthetic Minority Over-sampling TEchnique (SMOTE) to obtain data corresponding to 1,324 suicide attempters and 1,330 non-suicide attempters. We randomly assigned the samples to a training set (n=1,858) and a test set (n=796). In the training set, random forest models were trained with features selected through recursive feature elimination with 10-fold cross validation. Subsequently, the fitted model was used to predict suicide attempters in the test set.
RESULTS: In the test set, the prediction model achieved very good performance [area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC)=0.947] with an accuracy of 88.9%.
CONCLUSION: Our results suggest that a machine learning approach can enable the prediction of individuals at high risk of suicide through the integrated analysis of various suicide risk factors.
Language: en
LA - en SN - 1738-3684 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.30773/pi.2019.06.19 ID - ref1 ER -