TY  - JOUR
PY  - 2019//
TI  - Better practices in the development and validation of recidivism risk assessments:  the Minnesota Sex Offender Screening Tool-4
JO  - Criminal justice policy review
A1  - Duwe, Grant
SP  - 538
EP  - 564
VL  - 30
IS  - 4
N2  - This study examines the development and validation of the Minnesota Sex Offender Screening Tool-4 (MnSOST-4) on a dataset consisting of 5,745 sex offenders released from Minnesota prisons between 2003 and 2012. Bootstrap resampling was used to select predictors, and k-fold and split-sample methods were used to internally validate the MnSOST-4. Using sex offense reconviction within 4 years of release from prison as the failure criterion, the data showed that 130 (2.3%) offenders in the overall sample were recidivists. Multiple classification methods and performance metrics were used to develop the MnSOST-4 and evaluate its predictive performance on the test set. The results from the regularized logistic regression algorithm showed that the MnSOST-4 performed well in predicting sexual recidivism in the test set, achieving an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.835. Additional analyses on the test set revealed that the MnSOST-4 outperformed the Minnesota Sex Offender Screening Tool-3 (MnSOST-3), Minnesota Sex Offender Screening Tool-Revised (MnSOST-R), and Static-99 in predicting sexual reoffending.<p />  <p>Language: en</p>
LA  - en
SN  - 0887-4034
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0887403417718608
ID  - ref1
ER  -