TY - JOUR
PY - 2019//
TI - Suicide and ambient temperature: a multi-country multi-city study
JO - Environmental health perspectives
A1 - Kim, Yoonhee
A1 - Kim, Ho
A1 - Gasparrini, Antonio
A1 - Armstrong, Ben
A1 - Honda, Yasushi
A1 - Chung, Yeonseung
A1 - Ng, Chris Fook Sheng
A1 - Tobias, Aurelio
A1 - Iñiguez, Carmen
A1 - Lavigne, Eric
A1 - Sera, Francesco
A1 - Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana M.
A1 - Ragettli, Martina S.
A1 - Scovronick, Noah
A1 - Acquaotta, Fiorella
A1 - Chen, Bing-Yu
A1 - Guo, Yue-Liang Leon
A1 - Seposo, Xerxes
A1 - Dang, Tran Ngoc
A1 - de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, Micheline
A1 - Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento
A1 - Kosheleva, Anna
A1 - Zanobetti, Antonella
A1 - Schwartz, Joel
A1 - Bell, Michelle L.
A1 - Hashizume, Masahiro
SP - e117007
EP - e117007
VL - 127
IS - 11
N2 - BACKGROUND: Previous literature suggests that higher ambient temperature may play a role in increasing the risk of suicide. However, no multi-country study has explored the shape of the association and the role of moderate and extreme heat across different locations.
OBJECTIVES: We examined the short-term temperature-suicide relationship using daily time-series data collected for 341 locations in 12 countries for periods ranging from 4 to 40 y.
METHODS: We conducted a two-stage meta-analysis. First, we performed location-specific time-stratified case-crossover analyses to examine the temperature-suicide association for each location. Then, we used a multivariate meta-regression to combine the location-specific lag-cumulative nonlinear associations across all locations and by country.
RESULTS: A total of 1,320,148 suicides were included in this study. Higher ambient temperature was associated with an increased risk of suicide in general, and we observed a nonlinear association (inverted J-shaped curve) with the highest risk at 27°C. The relative risk (RR) for the highest risk was 1.33 (95% CI: 1.30, 1.36) compared with the risk at the first percentile. Country-specific results showed that the nonlinear associations were more obvious in northeast Asia (Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan). The temperature with the highest risk of suicide ranged from the 87th to 88th percentiles in the northeast Asian countries, whereas this value was the 99th percentile in Western countries (Canada, Spain, Switzerland, the UK, and the United States) and South Africa, where nearly linear associations were estimated. The country-specific RRs ranged from 1.31 (95% CI: 1.19, 1.44) in the United States to 1.65 (95% CI: 1.40, 1.93) in Taiwan, excluding countries where the results were substantially uncertain.
DISCUSSION: Our findings showed that the risk of suicide increased with increasing ambient temperature in many countries, but to varying extents and not necessarily linearly. This temperature-suicide association should be interpreted cautiously, and further evidence of the relationship and modifying factors is needed. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP4898.
Language: en
LA - en SN - 0091-6765 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1289/EHP4898 ID - ref1 ER -