TY - JOUR PY - 2020// TI - Trends and patterns in homicides in Italy: a 34-year descriptive study JO - Forensic science international A1 - Vichi, Monica A1 - Ghirini, Silvia A1 - Roma, Paolo A1 - Mandarelli, Gabriele A1 - Pompili, Maurizio A1 - Ferracuti, Stefano SP - e110141 EP - e110141 VL - 307 IS - N2 - AIMS: We aimed at analyzing homicide trends and patterns in Italy over the period 1980-2014.

METHODS: We collected data from the Italian Mortality Database (Italian National Institute of Statistics), for the study period. Temporal trends were analyzed using joinpoint regression analysis, with estimated annual percentage change computed for each detected trend. The possible effect of the mafia subculture was examined using an indicator of mafia social penetration. Differences between age classes, genders, geographical regions, and homicide methods were also analyzed.

RESULTS: The analyses showed an overall reduction in homicides during the study period, including a reduction in homicides by firearm. Further, we found significant differences between homicides involving male and female victims. A peak in male homicides, observed in the early 1990s, was significantly associated with mafia penetration.

CONCLUSIONS: The overall reduction in homicides can be interpreted as an expression of a "civilizing process."

Copyright © 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Language: en

LA - en SN - 0379-0738 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.forsciint.2020.110141 ID - ref1 ER -