TY - JOUR PY - 2020// TI - Robust methods and conditional expectations for vehicular traffic count analysis JO - European transport research review A1 - Kilpi, Jorma A1 - Norros, Ilkka A1 - Kuusela, Pirkko A1 - Malin, Fanny A1 - Räty, Tomi SP - e10 EP - e10 VL - 12 IS - 1 N2 - We study the problem of making algorithmic statistical inferences about the dynamics of city traffic. Our data is based on loop detector counts of observed vehicles in various roads in the city of Tampere, Finland. We show that meaningful correlations can be found between traffic asymmetries at different measurement locations. The traffic asymmetry is the difference of the traffic counts of the opposite directions of a road. The correlations can be further quantified by estimating how much they effect on the average values of the traffic asymmetries at the neighbouring locations. Conditional expectations, both sample and binormal model-based versions are useful tools for quantifying this effect. The uncertainty bounds of conditional expectations of the binormal model distribution are extremely useful for outlier detection. Furthermore, conditional expectations of the multinormal distribution model can be used to recover missing data with bounds to uncertainty.
Language: en
LA - en SN - 1867-0717 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12544-020-0399-8 ID - ref1 ER -