TY - JOUR PY - 2020// TI - Sensitivity and specificity of on-field visible signs of concussion in the National Football League JO - Neurosurgery A1 - Elbin, Robert J. A1 - Zuckerman, Scott L. A1 - Sills, Allen K. A1 - Crandall, Jeff R. A1 - Lessley, David J. A1 - Solomon, Gary S. SP - ePub EP - ePub VL - ePub IS - ePub N2 - BACKGROUND: On-field visible signs (VS) are used to help identify sport-related concussion (SRC) in the National Football League (NFL). However, the predictive utility of a VS checklist for SRC is unknown.

OBJECTIVE: To report the frequency, sensitivity, specificity, and predictive value of VS in a cohort of NFL athletes.

METHODS: On-field VS ratings from 2 experts who independently reviewed video footage of a cohort of 251 injury plays that resulted in an SRC diagnosis (n = 211) and no diagnosis (n = 40) from the 2017 NFL season were examined. The frequency, sensitivity, specificity, and a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve with area under the curve (AUC) were calculated for each VS.

RESULTS: Slow to get up (65.9%) and motor incoordination (28.4%) were the most frequent VS in concussed athletes, and slow to get up (60.0%) was the most common VS among nonconcussed athletes. The most sensitive VS was slow to get up (66%); the most specific signs in concussed NFL athletes were blank/vacant look and impact seizure (both 100%). Approximately 26% of concussed NFL players did not exhibit a VS, and the overall sensitivity and specificity for the VS checklist to detect SRC were 73% and 65%, respectively. The VS checklist demonstrated "poor" ability to discriminate between SRC and non-SRC groups (AUC = 0.66).

CONCLUSION: In the NFL, the diagnosis of concussion cannot be made from on-field VS alone. The VS checklist is one part of the comprehensive sideline/acute evaluation of concussion, and the diagnosis remains a multimodal clinical decision.

Copyright © 2020 by the Congress of Neurological Surgeons. Keywords: American football

Language: en

LA - en SN - 0148-396X UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/neuros/nyaa072 ID - ref1 ER -