TY - JOUR PY - 2020// TI - Mutually assured distrust: ideology and commitment problems in civil wars JO - Journal of conflict resolution A1 - Keels, Eric A1 - Wiegand, Krista SP - 2022 EP - 2048 VL - 64 IS - 10 N2 - Within the study of intrastate armed conflicts, many scholars rely on a bargaining model when explaining why some civil wars are intractable. Primarily, scholars posit that commitment problems represent a key barrier to settling conflicts through negotiations. Yet, some civil wars are more easily resolved than others. If commitment problems are a universal feature of civil wars, what explains why commitment problems are more salient in some conflicts as compared to others? We argue that ideological differences between combatants enhance commitment problems in civil wars. Assuming that ideology is used by combatants to generate support, concessions that violate the ideological goals of each side may alienate supporters. With extreme ideological polarization, concessions may be viewed as relative as opposed to absolute, making it difficult for either side to credibly commit to offer concessions. To test these claims, we quantitatively examine the duration and outcome of all intrastate conflicts from 1975 to 2011.

Language: en

LA - en SN - 0022-0027 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0022002720928414 ID - ref1 ER -