TY  - JOUR
PY  - 2020//
TI  - Potential COVID-19 outbreak in fire camp: modeling scenarios and interventions
JO  - Fire (Basel, Switzerland)
A1  - Thompson, Matthew P.
A1  - Bayham, Jude
A1  - Belval, Erin
SP  - e38
EP  - e38
VL  - 3
IS  - 3
N2  - The global COVID-19 pandemic will pose unique challenges to the management of wildland fire in 2020. Fire camps may provide an ideal setting for the transmission of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19. However, intervention strategies can help minimize disease spread and reduce the risk to the firefighting community. We developed a COVID-19 epidemic model to highlight the risks posed by the disease during wildland fire incidents. Our model accounts for the transient nature of the population on a wildland fire incident, which poses unique risks to the management of communicable diseases in fire camps. We used the model to assess the impact of two types of interventions: the screening of a firefighter arriving on an incident, and social distancing measures. Our results suggest that both interventions are important to mitigate the risks posed by the SARS-CoV-2 virus. However, screening is relatively more effective on short incidents, whereas social distancing is relatively more effective during extended campaigns. We conclude with a discussion of model limitations and potential extensions to the model.<p />  <p>Language: en</p>
LA  - en
SN  - 2571-6255
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/fire3030038
ID  - ref1
ER  -