TY  - JOUR
PY  - 2021//
TI  - Decision making dyads and judgement overconfidence: implications for high-risk industries
JO  - Applied ergonomics
A1  - Gilbey, Andrew
A1  - Walmsley, Stephen
A1  - Tani, Kawtar
A1  - Reweti, Savern
SP  - 103529
EP  - 103529
VL  - 97
IS  - 
N2  - In the workplace, overconfidence is generally considered undesirable as it may increase people's propensity to take risks. In many areas (e.g., aviation, shipping, nuclear control, and driving), risk-taking is detrimental to safety. We hypothesised that decision-makers would be overconfident and, due to group polarisation, decision-making pairs would be more overconfident than single decision-makers. As was predicted, when answering a 24-item general knowledge questionnaire (d = 0.94) and a task exploring how they might reorient themselves if lost (d = 1.93), participants (N = 63) were overconfident about their performance; importantly, participants in pairs (n = 32) were more overconfident on general knowledge (Hedges' g = 0.51) and lost procedures (Hedges' g = 0.52), than were participants who completed the tasks alone (n = 31). The findings imply that in some situations, single decision-makers may exhibit less overconfidence. The safety implications for a number of areas are discussed.<p />  <p>Language: en</p>
LA  - en
SN  - 0003-6870
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apergo.2021.103529
ID  - ref1
ER  -