TY  - JOUR
PY  - 2021//
TI  - Potential influence of cognitive bias on decision-making in a flood scenario
JO  - International journal of disaster risk reduction
A1  - Reis, André Luiz Q.
A1  - Stenders, Ricardo M.
A1  - Alves, Isabela S.
A1  - Câmara, Renan A.
A1  - Arana, Alba R. A.
A1  - Amorim, José Carlos C.
A1  - Andrade, Edson R.
SP  - e102198
EP  - e102198
VL  - 57
IS  - 
N2  - This study focuses on the possible mathematical correlation between the indexes (Gravelius, flood, and hazard) that characterize the propensity of a territory to suffer flooding, and the potential damage caused to the public. This characterization quantifies the level of threat of flood damage which in turn is combined with the Dunning-Kruger coefficient. The second one is created in this work in order to consider the cognitive influence exerted by decision-makers on the risk perception. This combination allows us to estimate how much the intellectual self-perception of the decision-makers influences the results, thus offering a new perspective for the assessment of natural disaster management. From this estimate, it is possible to establish a different perspective which takes into account the interaction between threat and responsiveness of decision-makers for the projection of damage to human life in the event of a flood.<p />  <p>Language: en</p>
LA  - en
SN  - 2212-4209
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102198
ID  - ref1
ER  -