TY  - JOUR
PY  - 2021//
TI  - Long term characterization of the vehicle stock in Turkey
JO  - Transportation research part D: transport and environment
A1  - Aydınalp Köksal, Merih
A1  - Tekeli, Ş. Elçin
A1  - Ara Aksoy, Shihomi
A1  - Kızıltan, Anna
A1  - Kızıltan, Mustafa
A1  - Duran, Nilhan
A1  - Aslanoğlu, S. Yeşer
A1  - Öztürk, Fatma
A1  - Özyürek, Nazan
A1  - Doğan, Pervin
A1  - Yılmaz, Ağça Gül
A1  - Köksal, Canan Esin
A1  - Çetintürk Gürtepe, İrde
A1  - Yereli, Ahmet Burçin
A1  - Birpınar, Mehmet Emin
A1  - Güllü, Gülen
SP  - e102988
EP  - e102988
VL  - 99
IS  - 
N2  - Projections of vehicle profiles play an essential role in developing government policies for emissions reductions in the automotive sector. Determining the trends of key parameters related to tailpipe emissions is critical for analyzing the adverse effects of vehicle emissions on air quality. This study presents a framework that can be used to assess the impacts of the vehicle fleet characteristics on pollutant emissions. Passenger cars and light commercial category vehicles in the Turkish vehicle fleet are analyzed in terms of size (sales and scrappage rates), age distribution, fuel type, engine displacement, and mileage. The distributions based on these parameters are forecasted for the 2020-2030 period under five alternative policy scenarios for Turkey. Should no scrappage incentives be imposed, the average vehicle age is estimated to increase significantly, and shares of hybrid and electric vehicles will be minor.<p />  <p>Language: en</p>
LA  - en
SN  - 1361-9209
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2021.102988
ID  - ref1
ER  -