TY - JOUR PY - 2022// TI - Potential flood risk in the city of Guasave, Sinaloa, the effects of population growth, and modifications to the topographic relief JO - Sustainability (Basel) A1 - Peinado Guevara, Héctor José A1 - Espinoza Ortiz, Mauro A1 - Peinado Guevara, Víctor Manuel A1 - Herrera Barrientos, Jaime A1 - Peinado Guevara, Jesús Alberto A1 - Delgado Rodríguez, Omar A1 - Pellegrini Cervantes, Jesús Manuel A1 - Sánchez Morales, Moisés SP - e6560 EP - e6560 VL - 14 IS - 11 N2 - The coastal city of Guasave, Sinaloa, located on the Mexican Pacific coast, is subject to extreme precipitation events, which have caused flooding with damage to the city's infrastructure. The factors that influence flooding are vegetation, geology, degree of soil saturation, drainage characteristics of the watershed, and the shape of the topographic relief. Of the above factors, the topographic relief, which is the subject of the study, has been partially modified in some areas by infrastructure works (from 20.2 m to 17.6 m), and the population of the urban area has grown by 51.8% in 17 years (2004-2021); therefore, the objective is to evaluate the potential flood risk due to changes in this factor and the growth of the urban area. When using this method, the potential flood risk was determined considering four extreme events, 1982, 1990, 1998, and 2019. It was found that the potential risk increases for the whole city, being more intense in sector III, which, before the modification of the topographic relief, was the area with the lowest risk of flooding. In an extreme event such as Hurricane Paul in 1982, practically the entire city would be flooded.
Language: en
LA - en SN - 2071-1050 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su14116560 ID - ref1 ER -