TY - JOUR PY - 2022// TI - The prevalence of opioid use disorder in Kentucky's counties: a two-year multi-sample capture-recapture analysis JO - Drug and alcohol dependence A1 - Thompson, Katherine A1 - Barocas, Joshua A. A1 - Delcher, Chris A1 - Bae, Jungjun A1 - Hammerslag, Lindsey A1 - Wang, Jianing A1 - Chandler, Redonna A1 - Villani, Jennifer A1 - Walsh, Sharon A1 - Talbert, Jeffery SP - e109710 EP - e109710 VL - 242 IS - N2 - BACKGROUND: Kentucky has one of the highest opioid overdose mortality rates in the United States. Accurate estimates of people with opioid use disorder (OUD) are critical to plan for the scope of interventions required to reduce overdose and opioid misuse. Commonly used household surveys are known to underestimate OUD at the state-level and do not provide county-level estimates.

METHODS: We performed a multi-sample capture-recapture analysis to estimate OUD prevalence in Kentucky in 2018 and 2019. We utilized four statewide datasets that were linked at the individual level: 1) Registry of Vital Statistics, 2) Emergency Medical Services (EMS), 3) Kentucky's Prescription Drug Monitoring Program (PDMP), and 4) Kentucky Medicaid. We included persons aged 18-64 years who resided in Kentucky between 2018 and 2019. We identified individuals with administrative data consistent with OUD in each of the datasets, including a fatal opioid-involved overdose (Vital Statistics), EMS runs for suspected opioid overdose, receipt of buprenorphine for OUD treatment (PDMP), or Medicaid claims for OUD. Observed and estimated counts of OUD cases and prevalence of OUD among the adult population in Kentucky.

RESULTS: The estimated statewide OUD prevalence was 5.5 % and 5.9 % for 2018 and 2019, respectively, ranging from 1.3 % to 17.7 % across Kentucky counties. As expected, counties with the highest OUD rates were Appalachian counties (eastern area) of the state.

CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis reveals a substantially larger proportion of KY residents have OUD than previously estimated. Our approach offers a model for states needing county-level estimates of OUD.

Language: en

LA - en SN - 0376-8716 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.drugalcdep.2022.109710 ID - ref1 ER -