TY - JOUR PY - 2022// TI - The disastrous business of presidential campaigns: the effect of disaster declarations on presidential elections in FEMA Region 3 JO - Journal of emergency management A1 - Balbuena, Ken A1 - Thornton, Tonya E. A1 - Baxter, Patrick A1 - English, Walter A1 - Chen, Wendy SP - 535 EP - 559 VL - 20 IS - 6 N2 - The issuance of disaster declarations has become a politicized matter. Prior research has demonstrated that presidents are more generous in awarding disaster relief in federal election years, and that there is a prevalence to award governors from the opposing political party. Additionally, voters tend to reward presidents seeking re-election to a greater degree for disaster response assistance rather than funding preparedness. The original research for this paper explores the impact of natural disasters on re-election rates and analyzes voter trends during presidential election years in Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) Region 3 states for congruence with existing literature covering a national scope. Evaluations of the behaviors and (re)election margins of Presidents Bush and Obama are explored, and implications for President Trump's re-election effort are based on quantitative data and qualitative comparisons.
Language: en
LA - en SN - 1543-5865 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.5055/jem.0666 ID - ref1 ER -