TY - JOUR PY - 2022// TI - Determinants of traffic violations in China: a case-study with a partial proportional odds model JO - Journal of transportation safety and security A1 - Ma, Jingfeng A1 - Ren, Gang A1 - Fan, Haoxuan A1 - Wang, Shunchao A1 - Yu, Jingcai SP - 1934 EP - 1954 VL - 14 IS - 11 N2 - Traffic crashes involving vehicles are mainly caused by illegal driving behaviors. It is of paramount importance to mitigate traffic violation occurrences. This study positions itself to characterize the effects of contributing factors on traffic violation severity. Considering different traffic violation outcomes caused by various factors, this study selects 17 factors from the spatiotemporal, road-traffic, vehicle-driver, and environment characteristics based on 55,997 valid traffic violations. A model comparison as well as the elasticity for the optimal model (partial proportional odds model) is applied to facilitate the related interpretation. The results evidenced the significant roles of time of day, vehicle type, driver age, interference, road type, weather, lighting condition, and speed limit. The findings revealed that higher-grade roads, higher speed limits, lower visibility, more interference, and increasing traffic volumes are significantly associated with a reduction in the slight probabilities but an increase in the more severe probabilities. Older drivers with more experience are correlated with a substantial increase in the slight probabilities yet an obvious decrease in the mild probabilities. The findings could provide meaningful insights to prioritize effective related countermeasures.
Language: en
LA - en SN - 1943-9962 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/19439962.2021.1994682 ID - ref1 ER -