TY  - JOUR
PY  - 2022//
TI  - Hazard rate of Iranian's corridors in transit
JO  - Road
A1  - Ganji Zahrei, Hadi
SP  - 157
EP  - 166
VL  - 30
IS  - 113
N2  - Using quantitative models can be a good tool for planning or evaluation. In this regard, given the multifaceted transit (economic, social, political, transportation), estimating the market size and the share of Iran's corridors is the starting point for planning. In this paper, initially, the transit potential is estimated. For prediction, it is applied the gravity model. It is based on examining the trade trends between the economic blocs in the region and beyond. In the next step, implemented the Logit model, for estimating Iran's share of the transit market. The results show that current transit demand is 92 million tones, which is expected to reach 118 million tones based on economic assumptions. Travel time through Iran's corridors without the China-Turkmenistan block is potentially reduced by up to 70%. The likelihood of Turkey-Turkmenistan, India-Ukraine, India-Caucasian economic blocks being attracted to Iran Corridors is 75%, Turkey-India, Turkey-UAE, China-Ukraine, India-Russia 73% and attracting trade between China-Turkmenistan countries and Russia-UAE is estimated at 20%.<p />  <p>Language: fa</p>
LA  - fa
SN  - 1735-062X
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.22034/road.2022.107902
ID  - ref1
ER  -