TY - JOUR PY - 2023// TI - Optimal heat stress metric for modelling heat-related mortality varies from country to country JO - International journal of climatology A1 - Eunice Lo, Y. T. A1 - Mitchell, Dann M. A1 - Buzan, Jonathan R. A1 - Zscheischler, Jakob A1 - Schneider, Rochelle A1 - Mistry, Malcolm N. A1 - Kyselý, Jan A1 - Lavigne, Éric A1 - da Silva, Susana Pereira A1 - Royé, Dominic A1 - Urban, Ales A1 - Armstrong, Ben A1 - Gasparrini, Antonio A1 - Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana M. SP - ePub EP - ePub VL - ePub IS - ePub N2 - Combined heat and humidity is frequently described as the main driver of human heat-related mortality, more so than dry-bulb temperature alone. While based on physiological thinking, this assumption has not been robustly supported by epidemiological evidence. By performing the first systematic comparison of eight heat stress metrics (i.e., temperature combined with humidity and other climate variables) with warm-season mortality, in 604 locations over 39 countries, we find that the optimal metric for modelling mortality varies from country to country. Temperature metrics with no or little humidity modification associates best with mortality in ~40% of the studied countries. Apparent temperature (combined temperature, humidity and wind speed) dominates in another 40% of countries. There is no obvious climate grouping in these results. We recommend, where possible, that researchers use the optimal metric for each country. However, dry-bulb temperature performs similarly to humidity-based heat stress metrics in estimating heat-related mortality in present-day climate.
Language: en
LA - en SN - 0899-8418 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.8160 ID - ref1 ER -