TY - JOUR PY - 2023// TI - Daily briefing: Why forecasters failed to predict Hurricane Otis JO - Nature A1 - Krämer, Katrina SP - ePub EP - ePub VL - ePub IS - ePub N2 - Tropical storm Otis shocked meteorologists when it turned into the strongest hurricane to ever strike Mexico. "In moments like these, forecasters utterly failed," says meteorologist Matt Lanza. "We must do better." One of the reasons this took forecasters by surprise is that computer models struggle to predict rapid changes that can occur in smaller storms. Otis intensified over a small area in the Pacific Ocean, where the local winds speeds and water temperatures of 31 °C provided the ideal conditions for the storm to worsen. Scientists have warned that these situations are more likely to happen owing to climate change.
Language: en
LA - en SN - 0028-0836 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/d41586-023-03404-9 ID - ref1 ER -