TY  - JOUR
PY  - 2023//
TI  - Brief communication: Towards a universal formula for the probability of tornadoes
JO  - Natural hazards and earth system sciences
A1  - Ingrosso, Roberto
A1  - Lionello, Piero
A1  - Miglietta, Mario Marcello
A1  - Salvadori, Gianfausto
SP  - 2443
EP  - 2448
VL  - 23
IS  - 7
N2  - A methodological approach is proposed to provide an analytical (exponential-like) expression for the probability of occurrence of tornadoes as a function of the convective available potential energy and the wind shear (or, alternatively, the storm relative helicity). The resulting expression allows the probability of tornado occurrence to be calculated using variables that are computed by weather prediction and climate models, thus compensating for the lack of resolution needed to resolve these phenomena in numerical simulations.<p />  <p>Language: en</p>
LA  - en
SN  - 1561-8633
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2443-2023
ID  - ref1
ER  -