TY - JOUR PY - 2024// TI - Changes in physical activity during the year after the Great East Japan Earthquake and future frailty in older survivors JO - Geriatrics and gerontology international A1 - Tsubota-Utsugi, Megumi A1 - Sasaki, Ryohei A1 - Suzuki, Ruriko A1 - Tanno, Kozo A1 - Kuno, Junji A1 - Shimoda, Haruki A1 - Sakata, Kiyomi SP - ePub EP - ePub VL - ePub IS - ePub N2 - AIM: This study examines whether changes in physical activity (PA) during the first year after the Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami (2011-2012) contributed to preventing the onset of future frailty among older survivors of the disaster.

METHODS: This study tracked 2561 physically active Japanese survivors aged ≥ 65 years (43.6% men; mean age 72.9 years) who had completed self-administered questionnaires in 2011 and 2012. PA levels for participants were classified into four categories based on ≥23 and <23 metabolic equivalent hours/week in 2011 and 2012: "consistently low," "decreasing," "increasing," and "consistently high." Frailty was defined as a Kihon Checklist score ≥ 5, which is used in the long-term care insurance system in Japan. Hazard ratios were calculated for the onset of frailty using a Cox proportional hazards model that fitted the proportional sub-distribution hazards regression model with weights for competing risks of death.

RESULTS: From 2012 to 2018, 283 men and 490 women developed frailty. Men with consistently high or increasing PA during the first year after the disaster had a lower risk of frailty. Furthermore, even increasing PA by walking for just 30 min/day prevented future frailty in men; however, this association between a change in PA and the decreased risk of frailty was not observed in women.

CONCLUSIONS: Older men who remained physically active or resumed PA at an early stage and at a low intensity, even after being physically inactive owing to the disaster, were able to prevent future frailty. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2024; ••: ••-••.

Language: en

LA - en SN - 1444-1586 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ggi.14882 ID - ref1 ER -