TY  - JOUR
PY  - 2005//
TI  - Recurrence Intervals Between Earthquakes Strongly Depend on History
JO  - Physica A: statistical mechanics and its applications
A1  - Livina, V
A1  - Tuzov, S
A1  - Havlin, S
A1  - Bunde, A
SP  - 591
EP  - 595
VL  - 348
IS  - 
N2  - We study the statistics of the recurrence times between earthquakes above a certain magnitude M in California. We find that the distribution of the recurrence times strongly depends on the previous recurrence time [tau]0. As a consequence, the conditional mean recurrence time between two events increases monotonically with [tau]0. For [tau]0 well below the average recurrence time is smaller than , while for , is greater than . Also, the mean residual time until the next earthquake does not depend only on the elapsed time, but also strongly on [tau]0. The larger [tau]0 is, the larger is the mean residual time. The above features should be taken into account in any earthquake prognosis.     <p>Language: en</p>
LA  - en
SN  - 0378-4371
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/
ID  - ref1
ER  -