TY - JOUR PY - 1996// TI - The Economic Epidemiology of Crime JO - Journal of law and economics A1 - Philipson, Tomas J. A1 - Posner, RA SP - 405 EP - 433 VL - 39 IS - 2 N2 - Economic analysis of infectious diseases emphasizes the self-correcting character of epidemics, as rising risk of infection causes potential victims to take self-protective measures. We apply the analysis to crime, showing how rational potential victims of crime will take increased self-protective measures in response to rising crime rates, causing those rates to moderate. Victim responses to crime can offset public expenditures on crime control; this implies that there may be a "natural" rate of crime that is difficult for the public sector to affect. We show that victim responses to crime can impart a cyclical pattern to crime rates and discuss the implications of our analysis for gun control and present empirical evidence concerning the responsiveness of self-protective measures to crime rates and the cyclical pattern of those rates.

LA - SN - 0022-2186 UR - http://dx.doi.org/ ID - ref1 ER -