TY  - JOUR
PY  - 1998//
TI  - Three Strikes and You're Out: Demographic Analysis of Mandatory Prison Sentencing
JO  - Demography
A1  - Schmertmann, CP
A1  - Amankwaa, Adansi A.
A1  - Long, RD
SP  - 445
EP  - 463
VL  - 35
IS  - 4
N2  - Much of the debate about the costs and benefits of "three-strikes" laws for repeat felony offenders is implicitly demographic relying on unexamined assumptions about prison population dynamics. However, even state-of-the-art analysis has omitted important demographic details. We construct a multistate life-table model of population flows to and from prisons, incorporating age-specific transition rates estimated from administrative data from Florida. We use the multistate life-table model to investigate patterns of prison population growth and aging under many variants of three-strikes laws. Our analysis allows us to quantify these demographic changes and suggests that the aging of prison populations under three-strikes policies will significantly undermine their long-run effectiveness.<p />
LA  - 
SN  - 0070-3370
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/
ID  - ref1
ER  -