Citation

Dillon RL, Liebe RM, Bestafka T. Risk Anal. 2009; 29(3): 321-335.

Affiliation

McDonough School of Business, Georgetown University, Washington, DC 20057, USA. rld9@georgetown.edu

Comment In:

Risk Anal. 2009 Mar;29(3):336-41; discussion 342-3

Copyright

(Copyright © 2009, Society for Risk Analysis, Publisher John Wiley and Sons)

DOI

10.1111/j.1539-6924.2008.01196.x

PMID

19187486

Abstract

This article describes the anti-terrorism risk-based decision aid (ARDA), a risk-based decision-making approach for prioritizing anti-terrorism measures. The ARDA model was developed as part of a larger effort to assess investments for protecting U.S. Navy assets at risk and determine whether the most effective anti-terrorism alternatives are being used to reduce the risk to the facilities and war-fighting assets. With ARDA and some support from subject matter experts, we examine thousands of scenarios composed of 15 attack modes against 160 facility types on two installations and hundreds of portfolios of 22 mitigation alternatives. ARDA uses multiattribute utility theory to solve some of the commonly identified challenges in security risk analysis. This article describes the process and documents lessons learned from applying the ARDA model for this application.

Language: en