Citation

de Lapparent M. Accid. Anal. Prev. 2005; 37(6): 1086-1092.

Affiliation

Institut National de la Recherche sur les Transports et leur Sécurité, Département Economie et Sociologie des Transports, 2 avenue du général Malleret-Joinville, 94114 Arcueil, France.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2005, Elsevier Publishing)

DOI

10.1016/j.aap.2005.06.006

PMID

16029870

Abstract

The present article deals with individual cyclists' probabilities of severe injury or death from a bicycle accident. We use an empirical Bayesian method to conduct an analysis of the fatal/severe probability distribution of a bicycle accident, at the level of individuals, in dense French urban areas. Among intuitive results, it is found that wearing a helmet lowers the average probability of such a crash; it is also shown that young bicyclists are, on average, more exposed to severe and/or fatal crashes. Finally, the results highlight a decrease of attention paid by all types of road users following road infrastructure improvements in favor of cyclists.