Citation

Martinez-Schnell B, Zaidi A. Stat. Med. 1989; 8(12): 1497-1508.

Affiliation

Division of Injury Epidemiology and Control, Centers for Disease Control, Atlanta, Georgia 30333.

Copyright

(Copyright © 1989, John Wiley and Sons)

DOI

unavailable

PMID

2616939

Abstract

We used time series models in the exploratory and confirmatory analysis of selected fatal injuries in the United States from 1972 to 1983. We built autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models for monthly, weekly, and daily series of deaths and used these models to generate hypotheses. These deaths resulted from six causes of injuries: motor vehicles, suicides, homicides, falls, drownings, and residential fires. For each cause of injury, we estimated calendar effects on the monthly death counts. We confirmed the significant effect of vehicle miles travelled on motor vehicle fatalities with a transfer function model. Finally, we applied intervention analysis to deaths due to motor vehicles.

Language: en