Citation

Bevilacqua OM, Maslanka VJ. Transp. Res. Rec. 1979; 708: 21-27.

Copyright

(Copyright © 1979, Transportation Research Board, National Research Council, National Academy of Sciences USA, Publisher SAGE Publishing)

DOI

unavailable

PMID

unavailable

Abstract

The widespread use of electric vehicles within the transportation system is essential for improvement of environmental quality and reduction of the consumption of petroleum-based fuels. This paper describes the development and application of a market assessment model that is used to estimate the market potential for alternative electric vehicle technologies by relating service needs to range capabilities. The market assessment model uses stratified household travel data to simulate typical daily travel patterns over a period of a year. Alternative scenarios of vehicle use are introduced to relate the sensitivity of the market potentials to household travel behavior. An approach to analyzing commercial vehicle market potentials is also presented. The analysis results reveal the interrelationships among the market potentials, vehicle-range capabilities, and vehicle-use assumptions and indicate the application of these findings to identification of an effective electric-vehicle technology development program.