Citation

Dogaki E, Matsuyama M, Yanase N, Fujishima H. J. Jpn. Counc. Traffic Sci. 2017; 17(1): 32-40.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2017, The Japanese Council of Traffic Science)

DOI

10.24597/jcts.17.1_32

PMID

unavailable

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to know estimation of the number of the license holder of the elderly person and the change of the driving awareness by the age. The license possession rates increase while elderly person population 65 years or older decreases, and, as a result, the number of the old license holder continues increasing for the next from 25 years to 30 years. The accident by the old vehicle driver is repeated, but the switch to other transportation is not easy. In contrast, various kinds of enlightenment activity is tried, but it should have the most effective age. For example, the elderly person driving is not yet conscious of with the problem of own in the youth. On the other hand, I become old and am after and am already the person concerned, and it is difficult to change a driving action from before without a big turning point. I assumed that there was the age of the change and estimated the age from an attitude survey between these two age in the study. The study contents are two points in response to the purpose of the study. One estimates it in the future of the number of the old license holder 65 years or older and is an estimate of the change age of the driving continuation consciousness of the old vehicle driver one more. It is the increase of the traffic accident by the advanced age vehicle driver that it will become a problem as for the motive of the estimate these days in the future of the number of the former advanced age vehicle drivers. A future value of the number of the license holder of the elderly person was a license possession rate of the elderly person population×（B） future of the （A） future here, but used the estimate that national social security Inst. of Population Problems announced about the elderly person population every five years in the （A） future. In addition, the license possession rate of the （B） future quoted the numerical value of a published road safety white paper （Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications） every year. As a result, I understood that the number of the old vehicle drivers of the woman grew it current 55％ in 2043.About the latter, the change age of the driving continuation awareness of the old vehicle driver, I estimated it than the attitude survey that I performed in Mogimachi, Tochigi in December, 2015. I performed the investigation by the distribution collection by the mailing method and obtained an answer from 300 people. A recovery is 15％. The investigation contents asked about driving awareness, the future driving possibility age with the grasp of the everyday driving action （the trip head, driving speed, driving consciousness others） with the car. In addition, about the license return person, I got an answer to the reason, use transportation after the return. We understood that future driving possibility age changed in the age of 65 years old-69 years old than this.

Language: ja

Keywords

a future estimate; advanced age vehicle driver; driving continuation awareness change; 将来推定; 運転継続意識変化; 高齢運転者