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Journal Article

Citation

Yasanthi RGN, Mehran B, Alhajyaseen WKM. Accid. Anal. Prev. 2022; 177: e106831.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2022, Elsevier Publishing)

DOI

10.1016/j.aap.2022.106831

PMID

36113332

Abstract

Weather-responsive Variable Speed Limit (WRVSL) systems treat speed limits as weather-dependent random variables, as opposed to the conventional static speed limits. This study (i) evaluates drivers' response to a fixed speed limit in different road-weather conditions, and (ii) proposes an effective approach to set WRVSLs, for rural divided highways located in extremely cold regions. Study data: road-weather, and speed data, collected from a rural highway (fixed speed limit = 110 km/h), are used to (i) estimate the 85(th) percentile speeds of population-level speed distributions, and (ii) develop WRVSLs based on the reliability theory. More specifically, the WRVSLs are set based on reliability: the probability of a speed being (i) likely complied by drivers, and (ii) adequate to avoid a rear-end collision. The study results reveal that merely 73 % of the drivers at the study site comply with the existing posted speed limit under normal road-weather conditions i.e., no precipitation and dry pavements. The reliability of the current speed limit is revealed to be approximately-one under normal road-weather conditions; thus, the current speed limit is perceived credible under such road-weather conditions. Yet, reliability of the current speed limit is substantially reduced in the presence of slight snow, and ice warning pavement conditions. A set of reliability-based WRVSLs ranging from 80 to 110 km/h is proposed. Jurisdictions experiencing extreme road-weather conditions may adapt the proposed methodology to effectively manage speed, particularly in rural highways under adverse road-weather conditions to enhance the probability of speed limits being safe and complied by drivers and as a result reduce crash propensity.


Language: en

Keywords

Adverse road-weather; Rear-end collision; Rural highway; Variable speed limit; Weather-responsive traffic management

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