Citation

Shirvani M, Kesserwani G, Richmond P. J. Flood Risk Manage. 2021; 14(2): e12695.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2021, John Wiley and Sons)

DOI

10.1111/jfr3.12695

PMID

unavailable

Abstract

This article presents a simulator for the modelling of the two-way interactions between flooding and people. The simulator links a hydrodynamic model to a pedestrian model in a single agent-based modelling platform, Flexible Large-scale Agent Modelling Environment for the Graphical Processing Unit (FLAMEGPU). Dynamic coupling is achieved by the simultaneous update and exchange of information across multiple agent types. Behavioural rules and states for the pedestrian agents are proposed to account for the pedestrians' presence/actions in/to floodwater. These are based on a commonly used hazard rate (HR) metric to evaluate the risk states of people in floodwater, and by considering two roles for the pedestrians: evacuees or responders for action during or before the flood event, respectively. The potential of the simulator is demonstrated in a case study of a flooded and busy shopping centre for two scenarios: (a) during a flood evacuation and (b) pre-flood intervention to deploy a sandbag barrier. The evacuation scenario points to changes in floodwater hydrodynamics around congested areas, which either worsen (by 5-8%) or lessen (by 25%) the HR. The intervention scenario demonstrates the utility of the simulator to select an optimal barrier height and number of responders for safe and effective deployment. Accompanying details for software accessibility are provided.

Language: en

Keywords

coupled agent-based models; evaluation of flood evacuation and mitigation strategies; flood risk analysis; human response dynamics