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Journal Article

Citation

The editors. BMJ 2023; 383: p2267.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2023, BMJ Publishing Group)

DOI

10.1136/bmj.p2267

PMID

37875299

Abstract

In this paper by Archer and colleagues (BMJ 2022;379:e070918; doi:10.1136/bmj-2022-070918, published 8 November 2022) several errors occurred during its preparation.
Abstract

Main outcome measures: The second sentence should state: Model development was conducted using a Fine-Gray approach in data from CPRD GOLD, accounting for the competing risk of death from other causes, with subsequent recalibration at "five and 10 years" using pseudo values.

Results: The third sentence should state: Upon external validation, the recalibrated model showed good discrimination, with pooled C statistics of "0.843 (95% confidence interval 0.841 to 0.844) and 0.833 (0.831 to 0.835)" at five and 10 years, respectively.
Figures 7 and 8

Figure 7: The labelling of the decision curves was inadvertently transposed--the top panel shows the results for five years, the bottom panel for 10 years.

Figure 8: The authors identified an error in the analysis code used to generate figure 8.
Results: Clinical utility analysis

The final paragraph should state: In analyses comparing the risk of falls with the risk of cardiovascular disease in CPRD GOLD, "1725 (0.1%)" patients had a high risk of falls (>10%) but low risk of cardiovascular disease (<10%) at 10 years (fig 8). A further "324 884 (18.3%)" patients were classified as high risk of both, and "607 228 (34.2%)" had a low falls risk but high risk of cardiovascular disease.
Discussion: Implications for policy and practice

The third sentence before the end should state: We examined the prevalence of this scenario in our model development population (fig 8) and identified only "a small" number of individuals "(0.1%)" who would be classified in this way, when comparing risks at 10 years.

The article and typeset pdf have been revised.


Language: en

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